21 December 2022
The US stock market bounced back after 4 consecutive days of declines, yet the USD is weakened, and the UST10Y yield touched its highest level this month in reaction to a surprise move from Japan's central bank that plans to raise their long-term government bond yields by as much as 50bps.
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20 December 2022
Monday's lack of economic data made investors focus on the Fed's Higher for Longer FFR. Speculation that the Fed again raised the FFR by +25 Bps in February and March 2023, pushing the Upper Bound FFR to the level of 5% while increasing the US economy in 1Q23 to become expensive.
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19 December 2022
SUN Market movement in a week, amidst the BoE and ECB continued their upward trend in interest rates, which rose by 50 Bps to 3.50% and 2.50%, respectively. The positive catalysts are the surplus of Indonesia’s Trade Balance in Nov. maintained at +USD5.16 billion and US economic data, such as flattening Headline Inflation and the Dec. FFR rise in line with market expectations.
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16 December 2022
The Fed expects a further FFR hike of above 5% in 2023, raising fears of a recession going further and lasting for a long period. Adding to the global recession fears, BoE and ECB continued their upward trend in interest rates, rising 50 Bps to 3.50% and 2.50%, respectively.
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15 December 2022
The Hawkish period is longer in 2023. The FOMC Rate Decision results project that next year's FFR to end at 5.1%, 50 Bps higher than the previous projection last September, which stated that the FFR in 2023 will end at the level of 4.6%.
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