US Inflation Is Flattening
US inflation is flattening. The high base of inflation in 2021 and the disinflation of several goods and services suppressed the US Headline Inflation in Oct. down to 7.7% YoY. According to CME Fed Watch, this occurrence drives the probability of an increase in the Dec. FFR of just +50Bps, up from 52% to 85%. Fed Pivot expectations in Dec. also supported by the depressed labor data, as US Initial Jobless Claims rise by 3% a week.










