3Q20 Prime SUN Auction Oversubscribed 3x

DJPPR recorded incoming SUN auction requests worth IDR 61.16 trillion, and successfully won IDR 22 trillion. Investors are still quite optimistic, as seen from incoming requests exceeding the indicative target, or record oversubscribed as much as 3x.

FR0082 Heading to Par, in the midst of waiting for BI meeting results on 15-16 July

A number of market participants project that Bank Indonesia (BI) will maintain the benchmark interest rate at the level of 4.25% at the Board of Governors’ Meeting this week. Market participants also responded positively to the government, which has poured a number of monetary and fiscal policy stimulus in an effort to restore the economy.

FR0081 at Par in a Week

The 5-year benchmark SUN FR0081 is trading in a price range of 100.00-100.46 this week, based on Bloomberg data. Volatility in medium and long tenors, makes market participants interested in short tenures FR0081.

Economic Data Reboud Support SUN Market

SUN market responded positively to the improvement in a number of economic data. The June 2020 Consumer Confidence Index (IKK) rose to 83.8 from the previous month’s 77.8.

High yield expectations, government did not win PBS028

Based on data from the Directorate General of Financing and Risk Management (DJPPR), incoming bids PBS028 (new issuance) yields up to 8.37% or higher than our previous projection between 8.15% -8 , 20%. These projections use the benchmark yields of PBS005 (43-years) and PBS015 (47-years), which are at the level of 8.05% and 8.36%, respectively.

Foreign Investors Calculate Fair Yield

Based on DJPPR data, foreign ownership in SBN decreased by IDR 4.6 trillion to IDR 935.8 trillion on Wednesday (07/01). The ownership decreased from the position Monday (06/29) IDR 940.4 trillion, after recording an increase in ownership of IDR 8.6 trillion since the end of May 2020.

SUN Market Moves Mixed Last Weekend

Foreign investors net sell worth IDR 4 trillion or during the period 26 June to 1 July. The movement of SUN on the weekend was also amid uncertainty in global political conditions, making investors avoid medium and long tenors. The ratification of Hong Kong’s security law by the Chinese government has the potential to increase regional tensions.